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Caleb Ferguson  (L)  - Pittsburgh Pirates

Pitching Profile

vs Right

4-Seam 66%Curve 18%Cutter 13%
vs Left

4-Seam 64%Cutter 15%Curve 15%
Pitch Label VS

Chaser 8%
+2%
Edge Painter 19%
+1%
Fringe Miss 14%
+1%
Mid Challenge 12%
+0%
Strong Challenge 5%
+0%
Weak Challenge 8%
0%
Likely Ball 19%
-1%
Meatball 5%
-1%
Non-Competitive 9%
-4%
Exit Velocity
(mph)
    Below 75 +0.3% 16%     75 to 86 +3.1% 21%     87 to 93 -2.3% 18%     94 to 99 +1.2% 19%     Above 100 -2.4% 24%
Launch Angle         Below -10° +2.0% 17%         -10 to 0° +0.1% 12%         1 to 6° +3.0% 8%         7 to 18° -1.8% 18%         19 to 28° +0.7% 15%         29 to 38° -1.5% 11%         39 to 50° -1.0% 7%         Above 50° -1.5% 8%
Outcome         Strikeout +8.3% 12%         Walk +1.7% 4%         In Play -10.0% 46%         On Base +1.6% 39%         Hit 0.0% 31%         Single +0.6% 14%         2B / 3B +0.6% 13%         Home Run -1.2% 3%
   Contact Label       Squib/Bunt -0.6% 0%       Std. Grounder +3.9% 34%       Hard Grounder +2.9% 7%       Low Screamer +0.7% 14%       Rising Liner -2.4% 9%       Maybe Homer -0.7% 4%       Likely Homer -0.7% 3%       No Doubter -0.1% 1%       Routine Flyout -3.6% 20%       Pop up +0.6% 3%

Model Summary

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What's this?
Type Pitches Freq Model Hit* HR* Strike Ball
vs LH346.3847.054.006.393.396
vs RH562.6263.058.010.452.313
Curve163.1889.045.001.442.331

Outcome Trends

Under: 0/0 (0%)

Over: 0/0 (0%)

Player Matchups

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Sim Accuracy

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Actual Simulated Difference % Diff
FD Points543421-122-22%
DK Points275229-45-16%
Runs6442-22-34%
Hits12181-40-33%
Home Runs1012215%
Strikeouts13994-45-33%
Walks6240-22-35%
Batters527374-153-29%
Innings9087-3-3%
Wins81-7-87%
Losses81-7-89%