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Merrill Kelly  (R)  - Arizona Dbacks

Pitching Profile

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vs Right

4-Seam 29%Sinker 21%Cutter 17%Changeup 15%Curve 12%
vs Left

4-Seam 31%Changeup 28%Cutter 18%Curve 15%Sinker 9%
Pitch Label VS

Chaser 8%
+2%
Edge Painter 19%
+1%
Fringe Miss 14%
+1%
Mid Challenge 12%
+0%
Strong Challenge 5%
+0%
Weak Challenge 8%
0%
Likely Ball 19%
-1%
Meatball 5%
-1%
Non-Competitive 9%
-4%
Exit Velocity
(mph)
    Below 75 0.0% 16%     75 to 86 -0.4% 21%     87 to 93 -1.5% 18%     94 to 99 +0.3% 19%     Above 100 +1.7% 24%
Launch Angle         Below -10° +2.8% 17%         -10 to 0° -0.1% 12%         1 to 6° +0.2% 8%         7 to 18° -1.4% 18%         19 to 28° -1.0% 15%         29 to 38° +0.5% 11%         39 to 50° -0.9% 7%         Above 50° -0.1% 8%
Outcome         Strikeout +1.4% 15%         Walk -1.2% 5%         In Play -0.1% 43%         On Base +0.1% 39%         Hit +1.4% 31%         Single +0.6% 14%         2B / 3B +0.8% 13%         Home Run 0.0% 3%
   Contact Label       Squib/Bunt -0.3% 0%       Std. Grounder +3.4% 34%       Hard Grounder -0.5% 7%       Low Screamer -2.5% 14%       Rising Liner -1.6% 9%       Maybe Homer +1.0% 4%       Likely Homer +0.9% 3%       No Doubter +0.4% 1%       Routine Flyout -1.2% 20%       Pop up +0.5% 3%

Model Summary

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Type Pitches Freq Model Hit* HR* Strike Ball
vs LH518.5222.067.014.363.388
vs RH482.4843.063.010.405.317
4-Seam205.2038.062.018.420.332
Cutter236.2457.066.015.479.314
Sinker144.1445.126.019.361.313
Curve78.0830.048.010.372.346
Slider122.1229.053.011.336.385
Change215.2173.039.000.288.433

Outcome Trends

Under: 0/0 (0%)

Over: 0/0 (0%)

Player Matchups

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Sim Accuracy

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Actual Simulated Difference % Diff
FD Points1,5251378-147-10%
DK Points823716-107-13%
Runs1121311917%
Hits222239178%
Home Runs353838%
Strikeouts278266-12-4%
Walks1021181616%
Batters1,1131,136232%
Innings269267-2-1%
Wins2015-5-27%
Losses1015552%