Great American Ball Park

December 8, 2023

No game today

Home Runs

	LF	LF	LC	CF	CF	RC	RF	RF
Typical	1.13	1.30	1.22	1.32	1.37	1.40	1.24	1.26

Doubles and Triples

	LF	LF	LC	CF	CF	RC	RF	RF
Typical	1.06	1.11	1.07	1.11	1.15	1.03	0.89	0.99

Singles

	LF	LF	LC	CF	CF	RC	RF	RF
Typical	0.99	0.99	1.04	0.97	0.99	0.99	1.04	0.99

Typical Conditions

For games played outdoors during the regular season

Wind Direction


10%	24%	17%	14%	7%	9%	11%	7%

Wind Speed (mph)

0 - 3	4 - 7	8 - 12	13 - 20	21 +
15%	58%	24%	2%	0%

Temperature (°F)

< 50	51 - 60	61 - 70	71 - 80	81 - 90	> 90
4%	8%	20%	36%	30%	2%

Humidity (%)

0 - 20	21 - 40	41 - 60	61 - 80	81 - 100
0%	2%	28%	49%	21%

Averages and Measurements

Rankings out of 30 active MLB parks (1=high, 30=low)

	Value	Rank
Runs	+13%	2
Home Runs	+27%	1
Doubles & Triples	+5%	9
Singles	-0%	15
Strikeouts	-1%	21
Walks	0%	13
Batter Contact	-1.1%	26

Wind Speed	6 mph	27
Blowing Out	-0.2%	29
Blowing In	-1.7%	13
Wind Receptiveness	+1.5%	21

Temperature	74°	15
Humidity	68%	1
Altitude	683 ft	7
Carry	0.0%	13
Variation	5.3%	17

Located up against the north bank of the Ohio River, Great American Ball Park�s tight dimensions make for the most home-run-friendly venue in all of Major League Baseball.

Unlike many hitters parks, there isn�t one point in the outfield where the Cincinnati venue stands out as playing much shorter than average. Although the 12-foot fence in left makes that side of the field a bit less inviting, the entire outfield is in play for a cheap HR here and there. If you had to choose a spot to target, it would have to be right-center field which plays about 30-40$ better than the league average for home runs.

Partially offsetting home runs is a below-average rating in batter contact. According to the Ballpark Pal model, hitters are about 1.1% less likely to put the ball in play (after controlling for player skill). This could be due to a change in hitting approach as hitters may swing for the fences at GABP more than they normally would. It could also be due to some aesthetic aspect of the park such as the batter's eye.

The home run favorability of Great American Ball Park really is all about its dimensions as external factors aren�t particularly influential. Wind speed is below average (6 mph) and the park ranks 21st in wind receptiveness. The stadium sits at 683 ft above sea level and carry distance is just slightly above average. Overall, GABP ranks 17th for day-to-day variation, which is in the bottom half for fully outdoor stadiums.

	Totals		Difference		% Dif		Median Dif
	Act	Sim	#	%	Away	Home	Med	Abs
Runs	791	816	25	3%	-2%	9%	0.58	2.99
Hits	1373	1404	31	2%	-1%	5%	0.81	3.45
1B	843	841	-2	0%	-1%	0%	0.35	2.43
2B/3B	287	323	36	13%	6%	20%	0.71	1.59
HR	243	239	-4	-2%	-9%	7%	0.09	1.03
BB	680	629	-51	-7%	-7%	-8%	1.20	2.32
K	1432	1451	19	1%	3%	0%	0.50	2.73

Date	Away	Away SP	Home SP	Runs	Sim	Dif	Hits	Sim	Dif	1B	Sim	Dif	2B/3B	Sim	Dif	HR	Sim	Dif	BB	Sim	Dif	Ks	Sim	Dif
9/24	PIT	Priester	Williamson	6	10.12	4.12	13	17.69	4.69	6	10.77	4.77	4	4.04	0.04	3	2.87	-0.13	11	7.31	-3.69	15	16.36	1.36
9/23	PIT	Falter	Phillips	25	10.13	-14.87	32	17.93	-14.07	21	10.82	-10.18	7	4.42	-2.58	4	2.69	-1.31	10	7.64	-2.36	19	18.91	-0.09
9/22	PIT	Jackson	Abbott	12	9.89	-2.11	16	17.23	1.23	9	10.14	1.14	2	4.33	2.33	5	2.76	-2.24	16	7.83	-8.17	25	18.22	-6.78
9/20	MIN	Ober	Greene	8	9.02	1.02	15	16.00	1.00	10	9.28	-0.72	3	3.99	0.99	2	2.73	0.73	11	7.42	-3.58	23	20.09	-2.92
9/19	MIN	Maeda	Cruz	7	9.01	2.01	15	15.21	0.21	12	8.63	-3.37	1	3.69	2.69	2	2.89	0.89	10	8.08	-1.92	24	19.86	-4.14
9/18	MIN	Ryan	Phillips	10	10.38	0.38	14	16.85	2.85	9	9.35	0.35	2	4.06	2.06	3	3.44	0.44	6	8.11	2.11	16	21.77	5.77
9/10	STL	Mikolas	Greene	8	10.92	2.92	11	17.79	6.79	4	10.25	6.25	3	4.00	1.00	4	3.54	-0.46	8	7.63	-0.37	17	15.93	-1.07
9/9	STL	Thompson	Spiers	7	10.59	3.59	14	17.98	3.98	10	11.04	1.04	3	3.80	0.80	1	3.15	2.15	10	8.00	-2.00	17	17.01	0.01
9/8	STL	Rom	Abbott	13	10.85	-2.15	19	17.78	-1.22	13	10.02	-2.98	3	4.36	1.36	3	3.40	0.40	12	7.74	-4.27	16	17.06	1.06
9/6	SEA	Gilbert	Richardson	12	10.10	-1.90	21	17.02	-3.98	12	9.72	-2.29	5	3.70	-1.30	4	3.61	-0.39	8	7.10	-0.90	20	19.66	-0.34
9/5	SEA	Miller	Phillips	13	10.30	-2.70	22	17.70	-4.30	12	9.96	-2.05	4	4.38	0.38	6	3.37	-2.64	16	6.79	-9.22	11	18.03	7.03
9/4	SEA	Woo	Antone	9	8.90	-0.10	17	16.38	-0.62	11	10.24	-0.76	3	3.60	0.60	3	2.54	-0.46	10	7.22	-2.78	12	19.83	7.83
9/3	CHC	Taillon	Spiers	22	11.71	-10.29	29	18.87	-10.13	15	11.34	-3.66	9	3.92	-5.09	5	3.61	-1.39	7	8.28	1.28	23	16.03	-6.97
9/2	CHC	Assad	Abbott	2	10.25	8.25	14	16.56	2.56	10	9.75	-0.25	3	3.75	0.75	1	3.06	2.06	6	9.19	3.19	14	17.61	3.61
9/1	CHC	Cuas	Richardson	4	9.87	5.87	13	16.38	3.38	7	9.95	2.95	4	3.73	-0.27	2	2.70	0.70	8	9.41	1.41	22	18.28	-3.72
8/20	TOR	Ryu	Greene	13	9.81	-3.19	19	16.84	-2.17	6	10.18	4.18	7	3.73	-3.27	6	2.92	-3.08	5	8.27	3.27	18	20.96	2.96
8/19	TOR	Bassitt	Williamson	7	8.98	1.98	15	16.48	1.48	11	9.59	-1.41	2	4.37	2.37	2	2.52	0.52	7	7.02	0.02	21	20.30	-0.70
8/18	TOR	Berrios	Kennedy	1	9.57	8.57	7	16.38	9.38	5	9.27	4.27	1	4.11	3.11	1	2.99	1.99	8	7.55	-0.45	17	18.58	1.58
8/16	CLE	Syndergaard	Abbott	9	10.26	1.26	20	18.09	-1.91	16	10.77	-5.23	1	4.45	3.45	3	2.87	-0.13	5	6.78	1.78	15	17.73	2.73
8/15	CLE	Allen	Ashcraft	3	9.75	6.75	13	17.49	4.49	11	10.89	-0.11	2	3.89	1.89	0	2.71	2.71	6	7.48	1.48	16	17.84	1.84
8/9	MIA	Cueto	Ashcraft	9	11.37	2.37	18	19.11	1.11	12	11.31	-0.69	1	4.28	3.28	5	3.52	-1.48	3	7.40	4.40	21	16.96	-4.04
8/8	MIA	Garrett	Weaver	5	11.12	6.12	13	19.09	6.09	6	11.11	5.11	6	4.72	-1.28	1	3.26	2.26	3	7.31	4.31	18	17.93	-0.07
8/7	MIA	Perez	Williamson	7	10.42	3.42	11	17.73	6.73	5	10.23	5.23	2	4.33	2.33	4	3.17	-0.83	7	7.53	0.53	25	18.52	-6.48
8/6	WAS	Irvin	Richardson	9	9.24	0.24	17	17.30	0.30	11	10.73	-0.27	2	3.99	1.99	4	2.58	-1.42	10	6.23	-3.77	24	14.58	-9.42
8/5	WAS	Adon	Abbott	10	10.26	0.26	16	17.77	1.77	8	10.14	2.14	7	4.52	-2.48	1	3.11	2.11	6	6.63	0.63	15	17.40	2.40
8/4	WAS	Corbin	Ashcraft	9	12.05	3.05	14	21.11	7.11	6	13.31	7.31	2	4.84	2.84	6	2.96	-3.04	9	6.91	-2.09	17	14.99	-2.01
7/23	ARI	Ruiz	Weaver	10	10.58	0.58	23	17.52	-5.48	17	10.12	-6.88	3	4.43	1.43	3	2.97	-0.03	8	8.31	0.31	13	17.35	4.35
7/22	ARI	Pfaadt	Williamson	5	10.53	5.53	11	17.88	6.88	3	10.17	7.17	4	4.45	0.45	4	3.25	-0.75	3	7.18	4.18	16	17.12	1.12
7/21	ARI	Henry	Lively	15	11.07	-3.93	16	18.00	2.00	8	10.43	2.43	4	4.16	0.16	4	3.40	-0.60	14	8.46	-5.54	15	18.11	3.11
7/20	SF	Cobb	Abbott	6	9.62	3.62	14	16.51	2.51	7	9.38	2.38	5	3.90	-1.10	2	3.22	1.22	6	6.95	0.95	14	19.68	5.68
7/19	SF	Stripling	Ashcraft	5	11.37	6.37	10	18.94	8.94	6	11.23	5.23	2	4.30	2.30	2	3.40	1.40	4	8.00	4.00	11	17.49	6.49
7/18	SF	DeSclafani	Weaver	21	12.06	-8.94	25	19.22	-5.78	17	10.94	-6.06	2	4.64	2.64	6	3.65	-2.35	12	8.41	-3.59	27	17.47	-9.53
7/17	SF	Webb	Williamson	6	10.48	4.48	10	18.62	8.62	1	10.97	9.97	5	4.40	-0.61	4	3.26	-0.74	6	6.54	0.54	18	19.93	1.93
7/16	MIL	Houser	Lively	6	12.21	6.21	16	19.58	3.58	11	11.99	0.99	3	4.16	1.16	2	3.44	1.44	8	8.77	0.77	16	16.64	0.64
7/15	MIL	Peralta	Abbott	3	10.09	7.09	8	16.60	8.60	5	9.16	4.16	0	4.21	4.21	3	3.22	0.22	6	8.06	2.06	20	19.51	-0.49
7/14	MIL	Burnes	Ashcraft	1	11.52	10.52	8	19.13	11.13	6	11.82	5.82	2	4.30	2.30	0	3.02	3.02	6	8.41	2.41	24	16.15	-7.85
7/2	SD	Morejon	Abbott	7	10.71	3.71	12	17.61	5.61	6	10.48	4.48	2	3.82	1.82	4	3.32	-0.69	8	8.05	0.05	19	17.20	-1.81
7/1	SD	Wacha	Williamson	17	10.53	-6.47	18	17.52	-0.48	9	9.87	0.87	5	4.53	-0.47	4	3.12	-0.89	11	7.92	-3.08	11	16.42	5.42
6/30	SD	Lugo	Ashcraft	12	11.93	-0.07	19	19.55	0.55	13	12.05	-0.95	2	4.25	2.25	4	3.25	-0.76	5	8.80	3.80	19	16.33	-2.67
6/25	ATL	Morton	Stoudt	13	11.42	-1.58	20	17.68	-2.32	11	10.21	-0.79	7	3.95	-3.05	2	3.52	1.52	16	9.48	-6.52	17	18.96	1.96
6/24	ATL	Shuster	Ashcraft	13	12.49	-0.51	24	20.29	-3.72	14	12.11	-1.89	2	4.90	2.90	8	3.28	-4.72	6	8.60	2.60	16	14.98	-1.03
6/23	ATL	Smith-Shawver	Weaver	21	11.50	-9.50	25	18.26	-6.74	12	10.32	-1.68	4	4.43	0.43	9	3.51	-5.50	12	8.80	-3.20	18	17.18	-0.82
6/21	COL	Bird	Abbott	8	9.40	1.40	15	16.58	1.58	9	9.94	0.94	2	3.78	1.78	4	2.87	-1.13	7	7.32	0.32	24	18.73	-5.27
6/20	COL	Davis	Lively	14	9.96	-4.05	19	17.18	-1.83	7	10.60	3.60	6	3.69	-2.31	6	2.88	-3.12	13	8.06	-4.94	17	18.30	1.30
6/19	COL	Gomber	Williamson	9	10.63	1.63	18	18.43	0.43	12	11.06	-0.95	2	4.40	2.40	4	2.98	-1.03	8	7.48	-0.52	21	16.93	-4.07
6/8	LAD	Kershaw	Ashcraft	6	9.92	3.92	18	17.40	-0.60	14	10.58	-3.42	3	3.99	0.99	1	2.83	1.83	11	7.95	-3.06	15	20.88	5.88
6/7	LAD	Syndergaard	Williamson	13	10.79	-2.21	21	18.05	-2.95	9	10.42	1.42	6	4.20	-1.80	6	3.43	-2.57	3	7.59	4.59	17	17.50	0.50
6/6	LAD	Gonsolin	Weaver	16	10.32	-5.68	22	17.46	-4.54	18	9.98	-8.02	2	4.12	2.12	2	3.37	1.37	14	7.40	-6.60	16	17.88	1.88
6/5	MIL	Teheran	Abbott	2	9.90	7.90	9	16.86	7.86	4	9.82	5.82	3	4.25	1.25	2	2.79	0.79	5	8.14	3.14	17	17.44	0.44
6/4	MIL	Houser	Lively	6	9.00	3.00	13	16.85	3.85	9	10.84	1.84	1	3.75	2.75	3	2.27	-0.73	3	7.50	4.50	11	17.64	6.64
6/3	MIL	Rea	Ashcraft	18	10.41	-7.59	22	18.44	-3.56	18	11.56	-6.44	1	4.45	3.45	3	2.44	-0.56	15	8.17	-6.83	11	18.46	7.46
6/2	MIL	Burnes	Williamson	9	9.91	0.91	10	17.42	7.42	6	10.42	4.42	2	4.29	2.29	2	2.72	0.72	13	8.21	-4.79	24	19.32	-4.68
5/25	STL	Mikolas	Weaver	3	9.73	6.73	13	17.95	4.95	9	11.53	2.53	4	4.06	0.06	0	2.36	2.36	7	7.70	0.70	17	16.53	-0.47
5/24	STL	Matz	Lively	13	10.38	-2.62	26	17.43	-8.57	18	10.49	-7.51	5	3.73	-1.27	3	3.21	0.21	7	8.20	1.20	15	16.75	1.75
5/23	STL	Wainwright	Ashcraft	13	12.13	-0.87	21	20.07	-0.93	11	12.51	1.51	7	4.35	-2.65	3	3.21	0.21	7	8.60	1.60	12	14.29	2.29
5/22	STL	Montgomery	Williamson	11	9.64	-1.36	15	16.34	1.34	8	9.31	1.31	5	3.93	-1.07	2	3.10	1.10	15	7.82	-7.18	27	17.58	-9.42
5/21	NYY	Severino	Greene	5	8.44	3.44	12	16.46	4.46	7	10.31	3.31	3	4.06	1.06	2	2.09	0.09	5	6.93	1.93	19	19.28	0.28
5/20	NYY	Brito	Weaver	10	10.36	0.36	18	16.85	-1.15	12	9.91	-2.09	3	3.57	0.57	3	3.37	0.37	7	8.38	1.38	23	17.26	-5.75
5/19	NYY	Schmidt	Lively	8	10.10	2.10	13	16.96	3.96	8	9.87	1.87	3	3.83	0.83	2	3.26	1.26	9	8.06	-0.94	21	19.20	-1.80
5/11	NYM	Senga	Law	5	9.76	4.76	16	17.21	1.21	11	11.01	0.01	4	4.00	0.00	1	2.20	1.20	4	9.14	5.14	18	17.73	-0.27
5/10	NYM	Verlander	Greene	3	8.59	5.59	12	15.87	3.87	9	9.82	0.82	2	3.47	1.47	1	2.57	1.57	7	7.39	0.39	17	21.20	4.20
5/9	NYM	Peterson	Weaver	13	10.24	-2.77	17	17.45	0.45	9	10.87	1.87	4	3.61	-0.39	4	2.97	-1.03	11	8.48	-2.52	14	18.91	4.91
5/7	CHW	Kopech	Ashcraft	21	11.39	-9.61	28	18.61	-9.39	13	11.48	-1.52	9	4.01	-5.00	6	3.12	-2.88	7	9.01	2.01	12	16.23	4.23
5/6	CHW	Clevinger	Lodolo	8	10.23	2.23	16	17.22	1.22	7	10.51	3.51	6	3.85	-2.15	3	2.86	-0.14	8	8.41	0.41	14	18.55	4.55
5/5	CHW	Lynn	Greene	9	9.29	0.29	15	16.78	1.78	11	10.75	-0.25	1	3.48	2.48	3	2.55	-0.45	3	7.69	4.69	22	19.25	-2.75
4/26	TEX	Gray	Ashcraft	7	8.62	1.62	12	15.61	3.61	7	10.08	3.08	4	3.49	-0.51	1	2.04	1.04	11	8.55	-2.45	14	16.96	2.96
4/25	TEX	Perez	Weaver	13	9.12	-3.88	21	16.26	-4.75	14	10.42	-3.58	4	3.35	-0.65	3	2.49	-0.51	6	8.01	2.01	21	17.48	-3.52
4/24	TEX	Eovaldi	Lodolo	12	7.55	-4.45	18	14.55	-3.45	12	9.22	-2.78	4	3.11	-0.89	2	2.23	0.23	9	7.17	-1.83	20	21.29	1.29
4/19	TB	Rasmussen	Stoudt	8	8.62	0.62	17	15.03	-1.97	14	8.90	-5.10	2	3.42	1.42	1	2.70	1.70	10	7.63	-2.37	18	17.49	-0.51
4/18	TB	Bradley	Lodolo	10	8.75	-1.25	21	15.10	-5.90	15	8.99	-6.02	2	3.53	1.53	4	2.58	-1.42	7	8.25	1.25	20	18.10	-1.90
4/17	TB	Beeks	Greene	9	8.83	-0.17	15	15.81	0.81	8	9.82	1.82	5	3.64	-1.36	2	2.35	0.35	8	7.94	-0.06	14	19.97	5.97
4/16	PHI	Nola	Cessa	17	10.00	-7.01	31	17.27	-13.73	22	10.33	-11.67	7	4.03	-2.97	2	2.92	0.92	9	7.32	-1.68	12	16.67	4.67
4/15	PHI	Strahm	Ashcraft	13	10.67	-2.34	19	17.11	-1.89	12	9.97	-2.03	5	3.79	-1.21	2	3.35	1.35	12	8.91	-3.09	18	18.59	0.59
4/14	PHI	Walker	Overton	11	11.30	0.30	19	18.11	-0.89	12	10.41	-1.60	6	4.09	-1.91	1	3.61	2.61	9	8.09	-0.91	14	16.04	2.04
4/13	PHI	Falter	Lodolo	8	9.73	1.73	19	16.97	-2.03	15	10.13	-4.87	3	3.62	0.62	1	3.22	2.22	8	6.71	-1.29	19	16.65	-2.35
9/1	CHC	Wicks	Ashcraft	8	9.53	1.53	17	17.29	0.29	13	10.74	-2.26	1	4.21	3.21	3	2.35	-0.65	12	7.68	-4.32	13	17.72	4.72
4/4	CHC	Wesneski	Cessa	17	8.17	-8.83	25	15.74	-9.26	16	10.03	-5.97	6	3.11	-2.90	3	2.60	-0.40	8	5.77	-2.23	17	16.08	-0.92
4/3	CHC	Smyly	Overton	13	8.31	-4.69	22	16.03	-5.97	15	9.87	-5.13	5	3.53	-1.47	2	2.63	0.63	8	5.59	-2.41	14	16.04	2.04
4/2	PIT	Velasquez	Ashcraft	4	7.22	3.22	15	14.78	-0.22	9	9.55	0.55	3	3.48	0.48	3	1.75	-1.25	5	6.80	1.80	13	17.86	4.86
4/1	PIT	Hill	Lodolo	8	8.05	0.05	13	15.40	2.40	8	9.78	1.78	2	3.26	1.26	3	2.37	-0.63	5	6.42	1.42	20	17.95	-2.05
3/30	PIT	Keller	Greene	9	8.08	-0.93	13	15.14	2.14	8	9.54	1.54	3	3.16	0.16	2	2.45	0.45	15	7.08	-7.93	26	19.54	-6.46