Matchup Machine

Spencer Horwitz

matchup for Yu Darvish

289th out of 436 (Worst 34%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for Spencer Horwitz

400th out of 568 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 2.7% lower than Horwitz's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.2%	21.6%	3.3%	5.1%	13.2%	8.6%	22.7%
Horwitz	-2.7	-0.1	-0.1	+0.5	-0.6	-2.5	+0.1
Darvish	+1.0	-0.5	+0.0	-0.4	-0.2	+1.5	-0.7

Spencer Horwitz is much better vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Horwitz has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Spencer Horwitz hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Spencer Horwitz has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

12.6% of Spencer Horwitz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.7% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -4.7% +6.7% 4%

Walk +2.8% -1.6% 42%

In Play +1.9% -5.1% 39%

On Base +2.1% -4.8% 31%

Hit -0.7% -3.2% 14%

Single -1.0% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.5% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.8% -0.5%

38.5% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.1% higher than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.8% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +4.1% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer 0.0% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -2.7% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.0% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -1.1% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.3% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.5% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +0.6% +0.4%

22.3% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.0% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.3% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.7% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -0.4% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.8% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.0% -2.8%

10.6% of Spencer Horwitz's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Spencer Horwitz are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%