Matchup Machine

Sal Frelick

matchup for Yu Darvish

275th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for Sal Frelick

355th out of 568 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Frelick

Sal Frelick has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 1.7% lower than Frelick's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.1%	24.4%	1.8%	4.8%	17.8%	5.6%	12.8%
Frelick	-1.7	-0.1	+0.3	-0.1	-0.3	-1.6	-1.0
Darvish	+0.8	+2.3	-1.5	-0.7	+4.4	-1.5	-10.5

Sal Frelick is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Frelick has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Sal Frelick has an A- grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Sal Frelick has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

8.3% of Sal Frelick's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.6% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

18%

Strikeout -10.6% +6.7% 5%

Walk -1.3% -1.6% 35%

In Play +11.9% -5.1% 39%

On Base +7.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit +8.5% -3.2% 14%

Single +5.2% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +5.7% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -2.4% -0.5%

43.2% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.8% higher than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +8.8% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -4.6% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer +6.8% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -3.5% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -3.0% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -2.2% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.7% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +3.2% +0.4%

10.7% of Sal Frelick's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 13.6% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +8.2% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +6.9% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.7% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -6.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -13.6% -2.8%

10.0% of Sal Frelick's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Sal Frelick are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%