Matchup Machine

Anthony Volpe

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matchup for Yu Darvish

178th out of 436 (Best 42%)

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Yu Darvish

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matchup for Anthony Volpe

398th out of 568 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Darvish
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Model Prediction

Anthony Volpe has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 3.5% lower than Volpe's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Darvish.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%21.7%2.8%5.6%13.3%6.8%23.2%
Volpe-3.5-1.3+0.5+0.4-2.2-2.3-1.0
Darvish-0.8-0.5-0.4+0.0-0.1-0.3-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Anthony Volpe is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Volpe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Anthony Volpe has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Splitter (R)
7%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Anthony Volpe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +6.7% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.6% 39%         In Play +2.0% -5.1% 39%         On Base +1.9% -4.8% 31%         Hit +3.2% -3.2% 14%         Single +2.1% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.3% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.2% -0.5%

History

Anthony Volpe has 4 plate appearances against Yu Darvish in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual442011000.500
Expected From Contact →0.350.000.150.200.088
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-24Flyout2%2%97%
2024-05-24Triple13%5%82%
2024-05-24Sac Bunt
2023-05-28Single13%87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.