Matchup Machine

Owen Miller

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matchup for Yu Darvish

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Yu Darvish

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matchup for Owen Miller

317th out of 568 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Darvish
2

Model Prediction

Owen Miller has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 1.4% lower than Miller's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Darvish.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%23.5%2.5%4.9%16.2%5.0%21.0%
Miller-1.4+0.1+0.5+0.1-0.5-1.6-1.8
Darvish-0.8+1.4-0.8-0.6+2.8-2.1-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

Owen Miller is better vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Miller has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Owen Miller hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Splitter (R)
7%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

12.8% of Owen Miller's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.9% +6.7% 5%         Walk -2.9% -1.6% 37%         In Play +5.8% -5.1% 39%         On Base +1.7% -4.8% 31%         Hit +4.6% -3.2% 14%         Single +2.8% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years