Matchup Machine

Zack Gelof

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matchup for Yu Darvish

102nd out of 436 (Best 24%)

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Yu Darvish

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matchup for Zack Gelof

295th out of 568 (Worst 48%)

Moderate advantage for Darvish
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Model Prediction

Zack Gelof has a 26.7% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 1.6% lower than Gelof's typical expectations, and 2.6% lower than batters facing Darvish.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.7%21.0%3.6%5.6%11.8%5.7%30.9%
Gelof-1.6-0.3+0.6+0.6-1.5-1.2-1.3
Darvish-2.6-1.2+0.4+0.1-1.6-1.4+7.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Zack Gelof is much better vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Gelof has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Zack Gelof hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Splitter (R)
7%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

20.6% of Zack Gelof's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 10.2% higher than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 10%         Strikeout +10.2% +6.7% 5%         Walk -1.4% -1.6% 43%         In Play -8.7% -5.1% 39%         On Base -5.7% -4.8% 31%         Hit -4.3% -3.2% 14%         Single -2.5% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.3% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years