Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Cal Raleigh

matchup for Yu Darvish

293rd out of 436 (Worst 33%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for Cal Raleigh

333rd out of 568 (Worst 42%)

Moderate advantage for Raleigh

Cal Raleigh has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 2.6% lower than Raleigh's typical expectations, and 1.1% lower than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.2%	21.0%	5.0%	5.8%	10.2%	7.2%	27.6%
Raleigh	-2.6	-0.1	+0.4	+1.1	-1.6	-2.4	-0.3
Darvish	-1.1	-1.2	+1.7	+0.3	-3.1	+0.1	+4.3

Cal Raleigh is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Raleigh has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Cal Raleigh has a B grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Cal Raleigh has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Cal Raleigh has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

15.5% of Cal Raleigh's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.5% higher than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.5% +6.7% 3%

Walk +3.1% -1.6% 41%

In Play -4.5% -5.1% 39%

On Base +0.2% -4.8% 31%

Hit -2.9% -3.2% 14%

Single -3.6% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B -3.2% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +3.9% -0.5%

24.7% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.8% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -9.8% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.8% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner -1.1% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.2% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.9% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +4.5% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +3.4% +0.4%

27.1% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.8% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.8% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.1% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.5% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.6% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.8% -2.8%

14.0% of Cal Raleigh's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Cal Raleigh are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.0% -1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -4.8% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° -2.2% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° -2.3% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.4% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +2.5% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° +2.8% 0.0% 8%

Above 50° +6.6% +2.9%

Cal Raleigh has 8 plate appearances against Yu Darvish in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	8	2	1	0	1	3	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			1.66	1.10	0.47	0.09			0.208

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-10	Flyout				99%
2024-09-10	Home Run	96%	2%		2%
2023-08-09	Strikeout
2023-08-09	Flyout				100%
2023-08-09	Single		19%	9%	72%
2022-09-13	Strikeout
2022-09-13	Flyout	13%	26%		60%
2022-09-13	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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