Matchup Machine

Tyler Nevin

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matchup for Yu Darvish

223rd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Yu Darvish

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matchup for Tyler Nevin

326th out of 568 (Worst 43%)

Leans in favor of Nevin
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Model Prediction

Tyler Nevin has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 2.6% lower than Nevin's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Darvish.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%21.3%3.5%5.3%12.5%7.8%25.1%
Nevin-2.6+0.2+0.7+0.7-1.1-2.8-0.5
Darvish-0.2-0.9+0.2-0.3-0.9+0.7+1.7

Handedness and Release Point

Tyler Nevin is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Nevin has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Tyler Nevin hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Splitter (R)
7%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Tyler Nevin's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.4% +6.7% 3%         Walk +2.0% -1.6% 40%         In Play -1.5% -5.1% 39%         On Base -3.3% -4.8% 31%         Hit -5.2% -3.2% 14%         Single -2.4% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -2.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years