Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Joey Estes

47th out of 436 (Best 12%)

Joey Estes

matchup for Connor Joe

259th out of 568 (Best 46%)

Leans in favor of Joe

Connor Joe has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Joey Estes, which is 3.0% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Estes.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	21.4%	2.5%	5.9%	13.0%	7.8%	16.2%
Joe	-3.0	+1.7	+0.6	+1.1	0.0	-4.7	-8.6
Estes	-1.2	-3.5	-2.1	-0.2	-1.2	+2.2	+0.7

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Joey Estes is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Joey Estes throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

52%

Slider (R)

32%

Changeup (R)

12%

12% of Joey Estes's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 12%

+6%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

Likely Ball 15%

-4%

31% of Joey Estes's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 31%

+16%

Large Break 36%

+15%

Medium Ride 26%

+12%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Joey Estes strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 7.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -7.3% 3%

Walk +3.0% -3.2% 40%

In Play -0.7% +10.6% 39%

On Base +0.2% -4.9% 31%

Hit -2.8% -1.7% 14%

Single -1.1% -2.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -1.8% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +2.4%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Joey Estes induces Standard Grounders at a 24.6% rate, which is 9.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -9.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -3.6% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -3.0% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +2.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +6.7% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +4.6%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 26.9% of batted balls allowed by Joey Estes are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +2.6%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%