Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Bryce Miller

138th out of 436 (Best 32%)

Bryce Miller

matchup for Connor Joe

536th out of 568 (Worst 6%)

Strong advantage for Miller

Connor Joe has a 27.8% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 4.4% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.8%	15.9%	1.3%	3.7%	10.8%	11.9%	32.0%
Joe	-4.4	-3.9	-0.6	-1.1	-2.2	-0.6	+7.2
Miller	+0.4	-3.1	-1.1	-0.4	-1.6	+3.5	+2.2

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

50%

Slider (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

13%

Splitter (R)

10%

8% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Bryce Miller's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 43%

+28%

High Ride 29%

+19%

Small Break 22%

+13%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +0.4% 3%

Walk +3.0% -2.6% 40%

In Play -0.7% +2.2% 39%

On Base +0.2% -4.3% 31%

Hit -2.8% -1.7% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.9% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.5%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -1.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% 0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +6.4% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -0.9%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Bryce Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +2.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -1.0%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%