Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for B. Williamson

91st out of 436 (Best 22%)

Brandon Williamson

matchup for Connor Joe

out of 568 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Joe

Connor Joe has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Williamson, which is 0.2% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Williamson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	19.2%	2.1%	4.4%	12.7%	12.7%	22.8%
Joe	-0.2	-0.5	+0.2	-0.4	-0.3	+0.3	-2.0
Williamson	-0.7	-3.6	-0.7	-0.5	-2.3	+2.9	+2.0

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Brandon Williamson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Williamson throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Connor Joe has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

36%

Cutter (L)

32%

Changeup (L)

17%

Slider (L)

Curve (L)

11% of Brandon Williamson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Edge Painter 17%

Non-Competitive 12%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

68% of Brandon Williamson's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 13% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (L) 68%

+13%

Just Gravity 22%

+8%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Brandon Williamson strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -1.2% 3%

Walk +3.0% +0.7% 40%

In Play -0.7% +0.5% 39%

On Base +0.2% -0.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% -0.9% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.4%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Brandon Williamson induces Standard Grounders at a 33.3% rate, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -1.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -2.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.1% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +3.6%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 23.8% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Williamson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -0.5%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.7% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% +0.1% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% +0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% +0.2% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% +0.2% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +3.1%

Connor Joe has 4 plate appearances against Brandon Williamson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.24	0.18	0.06	0.00			0.059

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-24	Flyout				99%
2023-09-24	Strikeout
2023-08-13	Flyout	18%	5%		77%
2023-08-13	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History