Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Mitchell Parker

286th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

Mitchell Parker

matchup for Connor Joe

102nd out of 568 (Best 19%)

Strong advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Mitchell Parker, which is 2.2% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Parker.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.4%	22.1%	2.4%	5.9%	13.8%	12.3%	22.0%
Joe	+2.2	+2.4	+0.5	+1.0	+0.8	-0.2	-2.8
Parker	+1.3	-2.3	-0.4	+0.2	-2.1	+3.6	-1.0

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Mitchell Parker is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Mitchell Parker throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Connor Joe has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Curve (L)

23%

Splitter (L)

19%

Slider (L)

10%

13% of Mitchell Parker's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

38% of Mitchell Parker's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 26%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+12%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Mitchell Parker strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -3.5% 3%

Walk +3.0% -0.8% 40%

In Play -0.7% +4.2% 39%

On Base +0.2% +2.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% +3.0% 14%

Single -1.1% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +1.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.4%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Mitchell Parker induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.3% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -4.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +4.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.0% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +2.0%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 21.2% of batted balls allowed by Mitchell Parker are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +6.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -3.0%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 7.5% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 4.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +2.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -0.9% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% +3.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -4.0% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +1.2% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +0.6%

Connor Joe has 2 plate appearances against Mitchell Parker in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.001

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-07	Strikeout
2024-09-07	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History