Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for G. Rodriguez

114th out of 436 (Best 27%)

Grayson Rodriguez

matchup for Connor Joe

490th out of 568 (Worst 14%)

Moderate advantage for Rodriguez

Connor Joe has a 29.3% chance of reaching base vs Grayson Rodriguez, which is 2.9% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.3%	19.3%	1.7%	4.8%	12.9%	10.0%	31.6%
Joe	-2.9	-0.4	-0.2	-0.1	-0.1	-2.5	+6.8
Rodriguez	-0.3	-3.1	-1.2	-0.1	-1.8	+2.7	+3.0

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Grayson Rodriguez is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Grayson Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 48% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

48%

Changeup (R)

22%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

14% of Grayson Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

56% of Grayson Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 56%

+35%

Very Fast Velo 24%

+16%

Medium Ride 25%

+11%

Offspeed (R) 22%

+10%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Grayson Rodriguez strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +3.7% 3%

Walk +3.0% -1.5% 40%

In Play -0.7% -2.3% 39%

On Base +0.2% -2.7% 31%

Hit -2.8% -1.3% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.3% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.2%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Grayson Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 38.9% rate, which is 4.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +4.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -3.0% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -2.1% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -0.4%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Grayson Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -0.6%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%