Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Slade Cecconi

172nd out of 436 (Best 40%)

Slade Cecconi

matchup for Connor Joe

197th out of 568 (Best 36%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Slade Cecconi, which is 0.6% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Cecconi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.7%	23.0%	2.3%	6.6%	14.2%	8.6%	21.8%
Joe	-0.6	+3.3	+0.4	+1.7	+1.2	-3.9	-2.9
Cecconi	+0.0	-2.3	-1.0	+0.5	-1.8	+2.4	-0.1

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Slade Cecconi is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Slade Cecconi throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

25%

Changeup (R)

10%

Curve (R)

15% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

41% of Slade Cecconi's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 41%

+20%

Medium Ride 24%

+11%

Fast Velo 24%

+9%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi strikes out 11.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -4.8% 3%

Walk +3.0% -4.3% 40%

In Play -0.7% +9.1% 39%

On Base +0.2% -1.7% 31%

Hit -2.8% +2.5% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +1.3%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Slade Cecconi induces Standard Grounders at a 25.9% rate, which is 8.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -8.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -1.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +5.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +2.9% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +2.5%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 22.8% of batted balls allowed by Slade Cecconi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -1.4%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -2.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -6.3% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -1.7% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% +4.4% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -0.8% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +2.3% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +3.9%

Connor Joe has 1 plate appearance against Slade Cecconi in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.18	0.00	0.09	0.10			0.184

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-03	Double		9%	10%	82%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History