Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Cody Bradford

141st out of 436 (Best 33%)

Cody Bradford

matchup for Connor Joe

415th out of 568 (Worst 27%)

Moderate advantage for Bradford

Connor Joe has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Cody Bradford, which is 4.6% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Bradford.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.6%	20.4%	2.6%	5.2%	12.6%	7.2%	23.2%
Joe	-4.6	+0.7	+0.7	+0.4	-0.4	-5.3	-1.6
Bradford	-1.0	-2.4	-0.6	+0.1	-2.0	+1.5	+0.7

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cody Bradford is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Cody Bradford throws a 4-seam fastball 54% of the time. Connor Joe has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

54%

Changeup (L)

27%

Slider (L)

11%

Curve (L)

9% of Cody Bradford's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 14%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-5%

42% of Cody Bradford's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

High Ride 32%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 27%

+15%

Medium Velo 27%

+13%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Cody Bradford strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +0.2% 3%

Walk +3.0% -4.3% 40%

In Play -0.7% +4.1% 39%

On Base +0.2% -4.4% 31%

Hit -2.8% -0.1% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.0% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.6% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +1.5%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Cody Bradford induces Standard Grounders at a 29.4% rate, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -5.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +2.0% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +0.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +2.1% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +1.1%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 27.7% of batted balls allowed by Cody Bradford are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +3.4%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.2% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -4.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -2.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% +3.1% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% +0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -1.6% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.2% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +4.2%

Connor Joe has 3 plate appearances against Cody Bradford in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.95	0.00	0.35	0.61			0.318

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-20	Strikeout
2024-08-20	Flyout				100%
2024-08-20	Double		35%	60%	5%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History