Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

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matchup for Jason Foley

194th out of 436 (Best 45%)

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Jason Foley

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matchup for Connor Joe

282nd out of 568 (Best 50%)

Leans in favor of Joe
2

Model Prediction

Connor Joe has a 32.1% chance of reaching base vs Jason Foley, which is 0.1% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Foley.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.1%21.8%1.4%5.1%15.3%10.3%19.1%
Joe-0.1+2.1-0.5+0.3+2.3-2.1-5.6
Foley+0.4-2.4-0.8+0.2-1.8+2.9+0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jason Foley is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jason Foley throws a Sinker 63% of the time. Connor Joe has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
63%
   Slider (R)
24%
   Changeup (R)
8%
   4-Seam (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Jason Foley strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.3% -3.1% 3%         Walk +3.0% -3.5% 40%         In Play -0.7% +6.6% 39%         On Base +0.2% +3.6% 31%         Hit -2.8% +7.1% 14%         Single -1.1% +4.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% +4.4% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -1.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years