Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Keegan Akin

181st out of 436 (Best 42%)

Keegan Akin

matchup for Connor Joe

541st out of 568 (Worst 5%)

Strong advantage for Akin

Connor Joe has a 25.5% chance of reaching base vs Keegan Akin, which is 6.7% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Akin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.5%	16.5%	2.1%	4.5%	10.0%	9.0%	32.7%
Joe	-6.7	-3.2	+0.2	-0.4	-3.0	-3.5	+7.9
Akin	-0.3	-2.6	-0.6	-0.6	-1.4	+2.4	+0.3

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Keegan Akin is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Keegan Akin throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Connor Joe has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

56%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

16%

15% of Keegan Akin's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Meatball 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Weak Challenge 5%

-4%

47% of Keegan Akin's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 47%

+25%

High Ride 32%

+22%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+13%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Keegan Akin strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +5.4% 3%

Walk +3.0% -2.5% 40%

In Play -0.7% -2.9% 39%

On Base +0.2% -7.0% 31%

Hit -2.8% -4.5% 14%

Single -1.1% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -2.1% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.0%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Keegan Akin induces Standard Grounders at a 30.3% rate, which is 4.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -4.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -3.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +3.9% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +4.0%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Keegan Akin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +2.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -2.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -1.4%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -1.9% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% +0.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -3.9% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% +2.2% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +1.2% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +3.5%

Connor Joe has 1 plate appearance against Keegan Akin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.09	0.00	0.00	0.09			0.090

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-06	Groundout			9%	91%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History