Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Ryne Nelson

121st out of 436 (Best 29%)

Ryne Nelson

matchup for Connor Joe

498th out of 568 (Worst 13%)

Moderate advantage for Nelson

Connor Joe has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 3.4% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.6% lower than batters facing Nelson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.8%	20.1%	1.5%	4.9%	13.7%	8.7%	30.8%
Joe	-3.4	+0.4	-0.4	+0.1	+0.7	-3.8	+6.0
Nelson	-0.6	-3.0	-1.0	-0.2	-1.8	+2.4	+3.5

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Ryne Nelson is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Ryne Nelson throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Cutter (R)

15%

Slider (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

11%

Curve (R)

15% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

29% of Ryne Nelson's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 29%

+19%

Fastball (R) 71%

+18%

Small Break 25%

+16%

Fast Velo 29%

+14%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -2.9% 3%

Walk +3.0% -2.3% 40%

In Play -0.7% +5.2% 39%

On Base +0.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit -2.8% +2.2% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +1.2% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.2%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Ryne Nelson induces Standard Grounders at a 36.7% rate, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +2.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -3.5% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -0.3%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 27.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryne Nelson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +3.0%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.0% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%