Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Kyle Muller

85th out of 436 (Best 20%)

Kyle Muller

matchup for Connor Joe

279th out of 568 (Best 50%)

Leans in favor of Joe

Connor Joe has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Muller, which is 1.5% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Muller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.7%	22.9%	2.2%	5.5%	15.2%	7.8%	20.1%
Joe	-1.5	+3.1	+0.3	+0.6	+2.2	-4.7	-4.7
Muller	-1.3	-3.3	-0.9	-0.4	-2.0	+2.0	+1.3

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Kyle Muller is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Kyle Muller throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Connor Joe has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

50%

Slider (L)

27%

Curve (L)

16%

Changeup (L)

14% of Kyle Muller's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+5%

Meatball 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Mid Challenge 11%

Edge Painter 17%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-2%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

29% of Kyle Muller's pitches are classified as Minimal Break, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Minimal Break 29%

+20%

Breaking (L) 43%

+14%

Medium Fast Velo 26%

+10%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Kyle Muller strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -1.0% 3%

Walk +3.0% -0.4% 40%

In Play -0.7% +1.4% 39%

On Base +0.2% +3.3% 31%

Hit -2.8% +3.6% 14%

Single -1.1% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +1.5% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +1.0%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Kyle Muller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.9% rate, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +0.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +1.7% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -3.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +2.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -0.6% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +1.0%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 29.8% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Muller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -3.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +5.5%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.3% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%