Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Alek Manoah

137th out of 436 (Best 32%)

Alek Manoah

matchup for Connor Joe

356th out of 568 (Worst 38%)

Leans in favor of Manoah

Connor Joe has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Alek Manoah, which is 0.8% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Manoah.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	18.2%	1.9%	4.7%	11.6%	13.3%	25.1%
Joe	-0.8	-1.6	0.0	-0.1	-1.4	+0.8	+0.3
Manoah	+0.4	-2.8	-1.1	-0.5	-1.2	+3.2	+0.4

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Alek Manoah is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Alek Manoah throws a 4-seam fastball 34% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

34%

Slider (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

11%

12% of Alek Manoah's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

32% of Alek Manoah's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 32%

+17%

Large Break 16%

+11%

Low Ride 32%

+9%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Alek Manoah strikes out 15.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +1.8% 3%

Walk +3.0% +1.0% 40%

In Play -0.7% -2.8% 39%

On Base +0.2% -3.0% 31%

Hit -2.8% -3.9% 14%

Single -1.1% -2.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -2.3% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.9%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Alek Manoah induces Standard Grounders at a 34.1% rate, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -0.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -3.2% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -0.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +1.6%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 26.1% of batted balls allowed by Alek Manoah are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +0.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +1.9%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%