Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Alexis Diaz

245th out of 436 (Worst 44%)

Alexis Diaz

matchup for Connor Joe

108th out of 568 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 37.1% chance of reaching base vs Alexis Diaz, which is 4.9% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Diaz.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.1%	16.2%	1.8%	4.6%	9.8%	20.9%	23.7%
Joe	+4.9	-3.5	-0.1	-0.2	-3.2	+8.4	-1.1
Diaz	+2.6	-4.0	-1.5	+0.0	-2.5	+6.6	-0.3

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Alexis Diaz is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Alexis Diaz throws a 4-seam fastball 57% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

57%

Slider (R)

43%

8% of Alexis Diaz's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 5%

-4%

44% of Alexis Diaz's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 44%

+21%

Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Small Break 25%

+14%

Breaking (R) 43%

+12%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Alexis Diaz strikes out 17.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +3.3% 3%

Walk +3.0% +4.5% 40%

In Play -0.7% -7.9% 39%

On Base +0.2% -1.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% -5.7% 14%

Single -1.1% -2.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -2.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.5%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Alexis Diaz induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +0.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -2.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +4.6% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +4.4%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 21.2% of batted balls allowed by Alexis Diaz are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +5.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +1.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -3.0%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 13.4% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -1.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -0.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -2.4% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -5.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% +2.0% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +0.7% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +9.9%

Connor Joe has 2 plate appearances against Alexis Diaz in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-22	Hit By Pitch
2023-04-02	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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