Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Trent Thornton

114th out of 436 (Best 27%)

Trent Thornton

matchup for Connor Joe

517th out of 568 (Worst 9%)

Strong advantage for Thornton

Connor Joe has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Trent Thornton, which is 3.8% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Thornton.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	17.1%	1.7%	3.9%	11.5%	11.2%	31.7%
Joe	-3.8	-2.6	-0.1	-0.9	-1.5	-1.3	+6.9
Thornton	-0.9	-3.8	-0.9	-0.2	-2.7	+2.9	+3.2

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Trent Thornton is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Trent Thornton throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Slider (R)

32%

Cutter (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

21% of Trent Thornton's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

27% of Trent Thornton's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 27%

+14%

Small Break 22%

+13%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

Extreme Drop 14%

+9%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Trent Thornton strikes out 17.3% of the batters he faces, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +3.0% 3%

Walk +3.0% -1.0% 40%

In Play -0.7% -2.0% 39%

On Base +0.2% -2.3% 31%

Hit -2.8% -1.3% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.3% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.5%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Trent Thornton induces Standard Grounders at a 29.2% rate, which is 5.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -5.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -1.0% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +2.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +2.1%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Trent Thornton are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -2.7%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%