Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Seth Martinez

151st out of 436 (Best 35%)

Seth Martinez

matchup for Connor Joe

110th out of 568 (Best 20%)

Strong advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Seth Martinez, which is 2.6% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Martinez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.8%	19.9%	1.7%	5.7%	12.4%	14.9%	18.5%
Joe	+2.6	+0.1	-0.2	+0.9	-0.6	+2.4	-6.2
Martinez	+0.7	-3.6	-1.2	-0.5	-2.0	+4.3	+0.3

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Seth Martinez is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Seth Martinez throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

28%

Sinker (R)

19%

Changeup (R)

14%

21% of Seth Martinez's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

37% of Seth Martinez's pitches are classified as Medium Velocity, which is 26% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Velo 37%

+26%

Low Ride 42%

+19%

Large Break 40%

+18%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Seth Martinez strikes out 12.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -3.4% 3%

Walk +3.0% +1.1% 40%

In Play -0.7% +2.3% 39%

On Base +0.2% +1.4% 31%

Hit -2.8% +0.3% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.0% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.7%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Seth Martinez induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +1.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +4.2%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Seth Martinez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +3.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -3.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +1.4%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 8.7% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +1.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -3.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% +5.1% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -6.5% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% +2.6% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -2.8% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -1.4% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +5.5%

Connor Joe has 2 plate appearances against Seth Martinez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.49	0.50	0.06	0.93			0.743

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-30	Single			93%	7%
2023-04-10	Flyout	50%	5%		44%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History