Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

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matchup for Alex Faedo

229th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Alex Faedo

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matchup for Connor Joe

166th out of 568 (Best 30%)

Moderate advantage for Joe
4

Model Prediction

Connor Joe has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Alex Faedo, which is 3.4% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Faedo.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.6%18.9%1.9%4.8%12.1%16.8%25.2%
Joe+3.4-0.9+0.00.0-0.9+4.3+0.4
Faedo+2.2-2.9-1.2-0.2-1.6+5.1-0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Alex Faedo is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Faedo throws a 4-seam fastball 45% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
45%
   Slider (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Alex Faedo strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.3% +2.2% 3%         Walk +3.0% +2.0% 40%         In Play -0.7% -4.2% 39%         On Base +0.2% -0.6% 31%         Hit -2.8% -2.6% 14%         Single -1.1% -1.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years