Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Griffin Canning

142nd out of 436 (Best 33%)

Griffin Canning

matchup for Connor Joe

206th out of 568 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Griffin Canning, which is 1.7% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Canning.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.0%	19.2%	2.1%	4.4%	12.7%	14.7%	22.3%
Joe	+1.7	-0.5	+0.2	-0.4	-0.3	+2.3	-2.5
Canning	+0.3	-2.9	-0.9	-0.3	-1.8	+3.2	+2.8

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Griffin Canning is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Griffin Canning throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

39%

Slider (R)

26%

Changeup (R)

21%

Curve (R)

11%

14% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

38% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 38%

+24%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Griffin Canning strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -1.8% 3%

Walk +3.0% +0.3% 40%

In Play -0.7% +1.6% 39%

On Base +0.2% -0.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% -0.5% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.6%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Griffin Canning induces Standard Grounders at a 30.4% rate, which is 4.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -4.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +0.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +2.3% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -0.8%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Griffin Canning are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -0.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -2.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +1.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +1.0%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 14.6% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 3.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%