Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Tim Mayza

213th out of 436 (Best 50%)

Tim Mayza

matchup for Connor Joe

154th out of 568 (Best 28%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Tim Mayza, which is 1.9% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Mayza.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.1%	23.3%	1.7%	4.6%	17.1%	10.8%	17.4%
Joe	+1.9	+3.6	-0.2	-0.3	+4.1	-1.7	-7.4
Mayza	+0.8	-1.8	-0.4	-0.2	-1.2	+2.6	+0.8

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tim Mayza is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Tim Mayza throws a Sinker 47% of the time. Connor Joe has a B grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

47%

Slider (L)

30%

4-Seam (L)

13%

12% of Tim Mayza's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

Edge Painter 17%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Mid Challenge 9%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

45% of Tim Mayza's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 45%

+29%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 42%

+18%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Tim Mayza strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +1.5% 3%

Walk +3.0% -1.6% 40%

In Play -0.7% +0.1% 39%

On Base +0.2% +1.6% 31%

Hit -2.8% +3.2% 14%

Single -1.1% +2.2% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +2.6% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.6%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Tim Mayza induces Standard Grounders at a 44.0% rate, which is 9.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +9.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +0.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% 0.0% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -5.3% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -1.3%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Tim Mayza are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +6.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -3.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -0.9%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 9.1% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 2.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +7.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% +2.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -0.5% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -0.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -2.3% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -2.6% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% -5.0%

Connor Joe has 1 plate appearance against Tim Mayza in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-06	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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