Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Kyle Finnegan

112th out of 436 (Best 26%)

Kyle Finnegan

matchup for Connor Joe

320th out of 568 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Joe

Connor Joe has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Kyle Finnegan, which is 0.4% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Finnegan.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	21.7%	1.7%	4.9%	15.1%	10.9%	26.0%
Joe	+0.4	+2.0	-0.2	+0.0	+2.1	-1.6	+1.3
Finnegan	+0.2	-3.1	-1.1	-0.4	-1.6	+3.3	+3.2

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Kyle Finnegan is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Kyle Finnegan throws a Sinker 48% of the time. Connor Joe has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

48%

4-Seam (R)

23%

Splitter (R)

17%

Slider (R)

12%

16% of Kyle Finnegan's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+4%

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 12%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Likely Ball 16%

-3%

60% of Kyle Finnegan's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 39% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 60%

+39%

Very Fast Velo 39%

+31%

Medium Ride 36%

+22%

Fastball (R) 71%

+17%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Kyle Finnegan strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -1.4% 3%

Walk +3.0% +0.9% 40%

In Play -0.7% +0.5% 39%

On Base +0.2% +3.8% 31%

Hit -2.8% +2.9% 14%

Single -1.1% +1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +2.3% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.2%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Kyle Finnegan induces Standard Grounders at a 36.8% rate, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +3.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -3.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +0.9% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -0.8%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 29.5% of batted balls allowed by Kyle Finnegan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -2.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +1.4% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +5.2%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 6.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +5.5% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -0.9% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% +2.6% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -1.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -4.5% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% -0.1%

Connor Joe has 1 plate appearance against Kyle Finnegan in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.62	0.00	0.36	0.26			0.624

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-30	Double		36%	26%	38%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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