Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Evan Phillips

127th out of 436 (Best 30%)

Evan Phillips

matchup for Connor Joe

508th out of 568 (Worst 11%)

Strong advantage for Phillips

Connor Joe has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Evan Phillips, which is 3.2% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Phillips.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	17.5%	1.5%	4.4%	11.6%	11.5%	30.6%
Joe	-3.2	-2.2	-0.4	-0.5	-1.4	-1.0	+5.9
Phillips	-0.1	-2.6	-1.0	0.0	-1.6	+2.5	+3.2

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Evan Phillips is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Evan Phillips throws a Slider 38% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

37%

Cutter (R)

14%

Sinker (R)

8% of Evan Phillips's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

32% of Evan Phillips's pitches are classified as Slow Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Slow Velo 32%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+17%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Evan Phillips strikes out 20.8% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +6.5% 3%

Walk +3.0% -2.2% 40%

In Play -0.7% -4.2% 39%

On Base +0.2% -3.8% 31%

Hit -2.8% -1.6% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.8%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Evan Phillips induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +3.1% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +0.5% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +0.6%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 18.5% of batted balls allowed by Evan Phillips are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +5.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -5.8%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% +0.5% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -2.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -0.2% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.5% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +3.1% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +0.9%

Connor Joe has 3 plate appearances against Evan Phillips in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-03	Hit By Pitch
2022-07-29	Strikeout
2022-07-05	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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