Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Chris Flexen

132nd out of 436 (Best 31%)

Chris Flexen

matchup for Connor Joe

217th out of 568 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Chris Flexen, which is 0.9% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Flexen.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.1%	20.7%	1.7%	5.7%	13.3%	12.5%	21.4%
Joe	+0.9	+0.9	-0.2	+0.8	+0.4	0.0	-3.4
Flexen	+0.1	-2.7	-1.1	-0.3	-1.3	+2.8	+0.7

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Chris Flexen is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Flexen throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Cutter (R)

29%

Changeup (R)

16%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

21% of Chris Flexen's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

27% of Chris Flexen's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 27%

+18%

Fastball (R) 69%

+16%

Medium Velo 21%

+11%

High Ride 21%

+10%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Chris Flexen strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -3.7% 3%

Walk +3.0% -0.2% 40%

In Play -0.7% +3.9% 39%

On Base +0.2% +1.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% +1.4% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.8% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Chris Flexen induces Standard Grounders at a 31.9% rate, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -2.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.1% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +2.3% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +1.7%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 21.9% of batted balls allowed by Chris Flexen are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +1.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.5% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -2.4%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -3.0% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -2.2% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -0.2% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.5% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +3.2% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +3.3%

Connor Joe has 1 plate appearance against Chris Flexen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.001

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-05-26	Pop Out				100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History