Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Alex Wood

349th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

Alex Wood

matchup for Connor Joe

2nd out of 568 (Best 1%)

Extreme advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 38.9% chance of reaching base vs Alex Wood, which is 6.7% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Wood.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	38.9%	24.5%	3.0%	6.3%	15.1%	14.5%	17.9%
Joe	+6.7	+4.7	+1.1	+1.5	+2.1	+2.0	-6.9
Wood	+1.7	-2.1	-0.1	+1.0	-3.0	+3.8	-1.3

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Alex Wood is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Wood throws a Sinker 46% of the time. Connor Joe has a B grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

46%

Slider (L)

23%

Changeup (L)

23%

Kn-Curve (L)

11% of Alex Wood's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

33% of Alex Wood's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 33%

+21%

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Slow Velo 28%

+15%

Offspeed (L) 23%

+10%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Alex Wood strikes out 19.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +6.2% 3%

Walk +3.0% -1.5% 40%

In Play -0.7% -4.7% 39%

On Base +0.2% -4.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% -2.8% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -1.0% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.2%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Alex Wood induces Standard Grounders at a 33.9% rate, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -0.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -0.7%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 29.0% of batted balls allowed by Alex Wood are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +4.7%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +2.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% 0.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% +1.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -0.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -1.5% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -0.8% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% -0.4%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	18	15	7	2	0	5	0	3	0.467
Expected From Contact →			6.86	1.71	1.00	4.16			0.457

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-30	Flyout				100%
2024-04-30	Home Run	90%	3%		7%
2023-07-16	Walk
2023-07-16	Single			69%	30%
2023-05-31	Single			87%	12%
2023-05-31	Pop Out				100%
2023-05-31	Hit By Pitch
2022-08-19	Home Run	81%	15%	3%	1%
2022-08-19	Walk
2022-06-08	Groundout			28%	72%
2022-06-08	Single			33%	67%
2022-06-08	Lineout		66%	6%	28%
2022-05-16	Walk
2022-05-16	Forceout		7%	7%	86%
2022-05-16	Single		6%	82%	12%
2022-05-10	Pop Out			1%	98%
2022-05-10	Single			91%	8%
2022-05-10	Groundout			7%	93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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