Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Jose Cuas

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

Jose Cuas

matchup for Connor Joe

35th out of 568 (Best 7%)

Strong advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 39.2% chance of reaching base vs Jose Cuas, which is 7.0% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Cuas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	39.2%	18.7%	1.8%	4.8%	12.0%	20.5%	21.1%
Joe	+7.0	-1.0	-0.1	0.0	-1.0	+8.0	-3.7
Cuas	+4.0	-2.7	-0.9	-0.1	-1.7	+6.8	-1.9

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jose Cuas is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Joe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Jose Cuas throws a Sinker 54% of the time. Connor Joe has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

54%

Slider (R)

29%

4-Seam (R)

14%

22% of Jose Cuas's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 12%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

56% of Jose Cuas's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 44% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 56%

+44%

Extreme Break 55%

+40%

Medium Fast Velo 44%

+29%

Fastball (R) 67%

+14%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Jose Cuas strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +0.6% 3%

Walk +3.0% +3.4% 40%

In Play -0.7% -3.9% 39%

On Base +0.2% +2.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% -1.1% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -0.2% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.4%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Jose Cuas induces Standard Grounders at a 33.8% rate, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -0.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -1.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +4.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -4.4% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +0.7%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 24.8% of batted balls allowed by Jose Cuas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -3.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +1.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +3.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -1.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +0.5%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.8% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +1.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -2.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% +4.6% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.6% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% -2.4% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +1.4%

Connor Joe has 2 plate appearances against Jose Cuas in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.06	0.00	0.00	0.06			0.030

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-17	Strikeout
2024-05-11	GIDP			6%	94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History