Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Jordan Weems

115th out of 436 (Best 27%)

Jordan Weems

matchup for Connor Joe

175th out of 568 (Best 32%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 35.3% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Weems, which is 3.1% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Weems.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.3%	18.3%	1.7%	4.3%	12.3%	17.0%	21.4%
Joe	+3.1	-1.4	-0.2	-0.5	-0.7	+4.5	-3.4
Weems	+0.2	-4.9	-1.1	-1.1	-2.6	+5.1	+1.4

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Weems is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jordan Weems throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

58%

Slider (R)

33%

Changeup (R)

14% of Jordan Weems's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-2%

46% of Jordan Weems's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 46%

+27%

Very Fast Velo 30%

+22%

High Ride 27%

+17%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Jordan Weems strikes out 12.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -2.1% 3%

Walk +3.0% +3.7% 40%

In Play -0.7% -1.7% 39%

On Base +0.2% +1.1% 31%

Hit -2.8% -2.6% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -1.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.6%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Jordan Weems induces Standard Grounders at a 31.7% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +1.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -3.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +1.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +3.6% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +1.4%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 26.1% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Weems are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +1.9%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% +1.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -1.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -3.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% +0.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +0.3% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +2.9%

Connor Joe has 3 plate appearances against Jordan Weems in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with 2 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			0.25	0.00	0.00	0.25			0.084

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-11	Single			25%	75%
2023-04-29	Strikeout
2023-04-29	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History