Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Andrew Chafin

223rd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Andrew Chafin

matchup for Connor Joe

303rd out of 568 (Worst 47%)

Leans in favor of Joe

Connor Joe has a 35.2% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Chafin, which is 3.0% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Chafin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.2%	17.7%	1.7%	3.7%	12.3%	17.5%	30.3%
Joe	+3.0	-2.1	-0.2	-1.2	-0.7	+5.1	+5.6
Chafin	+1.7	-3.1	-0.6	-0.6	-1.9	+4.9	+1.5

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Andrew Chafin is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Joe has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Andrew Chafin throws a Sinker 39% of the time. Connor Joe has a B grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (L)

39%

Slider (L)

37%

4-Seam (L)

24%

25% of Andrew Chafin's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 25%

+5%

Chaser 8%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Strong Challenge 2%

-3%

Mid Challenge 8%

-3%

32% of Andrew Chafin's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 32%

+16%

Minimal Break 23%

+13%

Medium Drop 24%

+12%

Fastball (L) 63%

+8%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Andrew Chafin strikes out 20.0% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +6.4% 3%

Walk +3.0% +1.7% 40%

In Play -0.7% -8.1% 39%

On Base +0.2% -2.1% 31%

Hit -2.8% -3.8% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -1.3% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -1.0%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Andrew Chafin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.8% rate, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.7% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +1.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.0% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +0.4%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 19.3% of batted balls allowed by Andrew Chafin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -0.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +4.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -0.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -5.0%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 10.4% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%