Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Steven Okert

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

Steven Okert

matchup for Connor Joe

127th out of 568 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 35.0% chance of reaching base vs Steven Okert, which is 2.8% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Okert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	35.0%	19.0%	2.2%	6.2%	10.6%	16.0%	25.3%
Joe	+2.8	-0.7	+0.3	+1.3	-2.4	+3.5	+0.6
Okert	+0.5	-3.8	-0.8	-0.4	-2.6	+4.3	+1.9

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Steven Okert is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Joe has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Steven Okert throws a Slider 57% of the time. Connor Joe has a D- grade against left-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (L)

57%

4-Seam (L)

32%

13% of Steven Okert's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

46% of Steven Okert's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 46%

+29%

Breaking (L) 57%

+28%

Medium Break 35%

+26%

Small Drop 24%

+11%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Steven Okert strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +3.7% 3%

Walk +3.0% +0.3% 40%

In Play -0.7% -4.0% 39%

On Base +0.2% -4.7% 31%

Hit -2.8% -5.0% 14%

Single -1.1% -2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -2.5% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Steven Okert induces Standard Grounders at a 25.1% rate, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -9.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +3.8% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% -1.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.9% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +6.1%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 19.8% of batted balls allowed by Steven Okert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +4.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +6.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -1.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -4.5%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -6.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -3.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% -1.7% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% +3.2% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +2.5% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +7.2%

Connor Joe has 5 plate appearances against Steven Okert in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-25	Strikeout
2023-06-24	Strikeout
2022-06-23	Walk
2022-06-01	Hit By Pitch
2022-05-30	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History