Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

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matchup for Taijuan Walker

166th out of 436 (Best 39%)

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Taijuan Walker

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matchup for Connor Joe

8th out of 568 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for Joe
10

Model Prediction

Connor Joe has a 37.9% chance of reaching base vs Taijuan Walker, which is 5.7% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Walker.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.9%22.4%2.3%5.6%14.6%15.5%14.5%
Joe+5.7+2.7+0.4+0.7+1.6+3.0-10.3
Walker+0.9-3.4-1.4-0.2-1.9+4.3+0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Taijuan Walker is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Taijuan Walker throws a 4-seam fastball 26% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
26%
   Splitter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
20%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Cutter (R)
8%
   Curve (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Taijuan Walker strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -2.3% -0.8% 3%         Walk +3.0% +0.1% 40%         In Play -0.7% +0.7% 39%         On Base +0.2% -1.3% 31%         Hit -2.8% -1.5% 14%         Single -1.1% -0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

History

Connor Joe has 3 plate appearances against Taijuan Walker in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.710.000.420.290.238
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-22Forceout41%9%51%
2022-05-22Groundout9%91%
2022-05-22Flyout2%11%87%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.