Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Jon Gray

57th out of 436 (Best 14%)

Jon Gray

matchup for Connor Joe

253rd out of 568 (Best 45%)

Leans in favor of Joe

Connor Joe has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Jon Gray, which is 0.8% lower than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Gray.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	23.0%	2.2%	4.7%	16.1%	8.3%	18.8%
Joe	-0.8	+3.3	+0.3	-0.1	+3.1	-4.2	-6.0
Gray	-1.7	-3.4	-0.9	-1.0	-1.5	+1.8	+1.8

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jon Gray is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Jon Gray throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

47%

Slider (R)

38%

Changeup (R)

Curve (R)

11% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

41% of Jon Gray's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 41%

+17%

Large Break 35%

+14%

Breaking (R) 44%

+14%

Medium Slow Velo 25%

+12%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Jon Gray strikes out 17.9% of the batters he faces, which is 3.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +3.8% 3%

Walk +3.0% -1.2% 40%

In Play -0.7% -2.6% 39%

On Base +0.2% -0.6% 31%

Hit -2.8% +0.6% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.4% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.6%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Jon Gray induces Standard Grounders at a 34.7% rate, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% +0.3% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.1% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +0.8% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +0.4%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 26.6% of batted balls allowed by Jon Gray are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -0.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -0.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +2.3%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%