Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Connor Joe

matchup for Kevin Gausman

178th out of 436 (Best 42%)

Kevin Gausman

matchup for Connor Joe

285th out of 568 (Best 51%)

Leans in favor of Joe

Connor Joe has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Kevin Gausman, which is 0.3% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 1.2% higher than batters facing Gausman.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	19.8%	1.5%	5.3%	13.0%	12.7%	22.2%
Joe	+0.3	+0.0	-0.4	+0.5	0.0	+0.3	-2.6
Gausman	+1.2	-3.2	-1.1	-0.3	-1.7	+4.4	+0.4

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Kevin Gausman is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Joe has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Kevin Gausman throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Splitter (R)

35%

Slider (R)

11%

9% of Kevin Gausman's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 9%

+3%

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

48% of Kevin Gausman's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 48%

+27%

Offspeed (R) 37%

+25%

High Ride 23%

+13%

Slow Velo 25%

+11%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Kevin Gausman strikes out 17.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +3.3% 3%

Walk +3.0% -1.4% 40%

In Play -0.7% -1.8% 39%

On Base +0.2% -1.9% 31%

Hit -2.8% -0.5% 14%

Single -1.1% -0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.2% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.5%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Kevin Gausman induces Standard Grounders at a 32.9% rate, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -1.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% +0.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +2.0% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% 0.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% -1.5% 3%

Pop up +4.2% -0.5%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 25.6% of batted balls allowed by Kevin Gausman are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% -0.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% -1.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% +0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% +1.3%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%