Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for Tyler Anderson

213th out of 436 (Best 50%)

Tyler Anderson

matchup for Connor Joe

151st out of 568 (Best 27%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.3% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Anderson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.5%	19.6%	2.3%	4.7%	12.7%	14.9%	21.9%
Joe	+2.3	-0.1	+0.4	-0.2	-0.3	+2.4	-2.9
Anderson	+0.8	-2.6	-0.7	-0.6	-1.4	+3.5	+0.4

Connor Joe is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Connor Joe has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

38%

Changeup (L)

32%

Cutter (L)

22%

Sinker (L)

7% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

32% of Tyler Anderson's pitches are classified as Offspeed Pitches, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Offspeed (L) 32%

+19%

Low Ride 40%

+17%

Fastball (L) 67%

+12%

Extreme Slow Velo 20%

+11%

Large Break 31%

+9%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% -2.0% 3%

Walk +3.0% -0.9% 40%

In Play -0.7% +2.9% 39%

On Base +0.2% -0.1% 31%

Hit -2.8% +0.9% 14%

Single -1.1% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.6% 3%

Home Run -1.0% -0.2%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -1.8% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +1.3% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +1.8%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Anderson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% +2.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +1.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -1.4%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 11.4% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.3% -3.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -3.0% -1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +1.8% +1.3% 15%

19 to 28° +1.0% -0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -0.6% -0.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.5% +0.5% 8%

Above 50° +4.4% +2.8%

Connor Joe has 13 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 13 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	13	3	0	1	2	2	0	0.231
Expected From Contact →			3.57	0.47	0.62	2.48			0.274

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-06	Pop Out				100%
2024-05-06	Flyout		1%		98%
2024-05-06	Strikeout
2023-07-23	Flyout	12%	40%		46%
2023-07-23	Strikeout
2023-07-23	Flyout	34%	19%	2%	46%
2022-07-28	Groundout			12%	88%
2022-07-28	Groundout			11%	89%
2022-07-28	Groundout			7%	93%
2022-06-27	Double			30%	69%
2022-06-27	Single			93%	6%
2022-06-27	Flyout				100%
2022-04-09	Single			92%	8%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History