Matchup Machine

Connor Joe

matchup for J. Verlander

170th out of 436 (Best 40%)

Justin Verlander

matchup for Connor Joe

171st out of 568 (Best 31%)

Moderate advantage for Joe

Connor Joe has a 33.3% chance of reaching base vs Justin Verlander, which is 1.1% higher than Joe's typical expectations, and 0.8% higher than batters facing Verlander.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.3%	21.4%	1.7%	5.5%	14.2%	11.9%	17.8%
Joe	+1.1	+1.7	-0.2	+0.7	+1.2	-0.6	-7.0
Verlander	+0.8	-2.1	-1.1	-0.2	-0.8	+2.9	+0.7

Connor Joe is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Justin Verlander is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Joe has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Justin Verlander throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Connor Joe has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

50%

Slider (R)

27%

Curve (R)

19%

14% of Justin Verlander's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+2%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

28% of Justin Verlander's pitches are classified as Extreme Ride, which is 25% higher than the MLB average. Connor Joe hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Ride 28%

+25%

Breaking (R) 46%

+15%

Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Small Break 21%

+10%

13.2% of Connor Joe's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.3% lower than the league average. Justin Verlander strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -2.3% +5.2% 3%

Walk +3.0% -2.7% 40%

In Play -0.7% -2.5% 39%

On Base +0.2% -7.7% 31%

Hit -2.8% -5.0% 14%

Single -1.1% -2.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -2.8% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

29.2% of Connor Joe's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Justin Verlander induces Standard Grounders at a 26.8% rate, which is 7.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt 0.0% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -5.3% -7.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.6% -1.4% 14%

Low Screamer +2.5% +1.3% 9%

Rising Liner +0.4% +0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +0.1% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.5% +4.7% 3%

Pop up +4.2% +3.0%

22.1% of Connor Joe's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.2% lower than the league average. 21.0% of batted balls allowed by Justin Verlander are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +9.0% -0.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.0% +1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.0% +2.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.2% -3.3%

10.8% of Connor Joe's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Connor Joe are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%