Matchup Machine

Aledmys Diaz

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matchup for Yu Darvish

out of 436 (Worst %)

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Yu Darvish

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matchup for Aledmys Diaz

280th out of 568 (Best 50%)

Moderate advantage for Darvish
3

Model Prediction

Aledmys Diaz has a 27.4% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 0.5% lower than Diaz's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Darvish.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.4%23.5%2.2%5.5%15.8%3.9%22.5%
Diaz-0.5+0.4+0.5+0.5-0.6-0.9-0.5
Darvish-1.8+1.3-1.0-0.1+2.4-3.1-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Aledmys Diaz is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Diaz has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Aledmys Diaz has a D grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Splitter (R)
7%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Aledmys Diaz's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.2% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.2% +6.7% 6%         Walk -4.2% -1.6% 36%         In Play +9.4% -5.1% 39%         On Base -4.0% -4.8% 31%         Hit +0.2% -3.2% 14%         Single +0.5% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% -1.2% 3%         Home Run -1.3% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years