Matchup Machine

Andrew Benintendi

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matchup for Yu Darvish

427th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

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Yu Darvish

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matchup for A. Benintendi

136th out of 568 (Best 25%)

Extreme advantage for Benintendi
10

Model Prediction

Andrew Benintendi has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 0.2% higher than Benintendi's typical expectations, and 3.9% higher than batters facing Darvish.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%24.3%5.1%6.0%13.1%8.9%17.1%
Benintendi-0.2+0.6+1.6+0.8-1.8-0.8-2.2
Darvish+3.9+2.1+1.9+0.5-0.2+1.8-6.3

Handedness and Release Point

Andrew Benintendi is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Benintendi has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Andrew Benintendi has a D grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
26%
   Slider (R)
26%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Splitter (R)
7%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Andrew Benintendi's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% +6.7% 4%         Walk +0.4% -1.6% 37%         In Play +5.8% -5.1% 39%         On Base +1.7% -4.8% 31%         Hit +1.3% -3.2% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +0.1% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.5% -0.5%

History

Andrew Benintendi has 3 plate appearances against Yu Darvish in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.660.000.570.090.221
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-22Pop Out100%
2024-09-22Lineout57%9%34%
2024-09-22Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.