Matchup Machine

Jonah Heim

matchup for Yu Darvish

184th out of 436 (Best 43%)

Yu Darvish

matchup for Jonah Heim

402nd out of 568 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of Darvish

Jonah Heim has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Yu Darvish, which is 2.8% lower than Heim's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Darvish.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.6%	21.7%	3.1%	4.6%	13.9%	5.9%	18.5%
Heim	-2.8	-0.8	+0.4	-0.3	-0.9	-2.0	-0.7
Darvish	-1.6	-0.5	-0.1	-0.9	+0.5	-1.2	-4.9

Jonah Heim is worse vs right-handed pitching. Yu Darvish is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Heim has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Yu Darvish throws a Cutter 26% of the time. Jonah Heim has an A grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

26%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

12%

Splitter (R)

Curve (R)

14% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jonah Heim has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

28% of Yu Darvish's pitches are classified as Medium Drop, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Jonah Heim has a C- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Drop 28%

+15%

Small Break 20%

+9%

11.1% of Jonah Heim's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.9% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.9% +6.7% 5%

Walk -3.0% -1.6% 36%

In Play +8.9% -5.1% 39%

On Base -2.1% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.8% -3.2% 14%

Single +0.4% -1.6% 13%

2B / 3B +0.7% -1.2% 3%

Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

31.8% of Jonah Heim's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. Yu Darvish induces Standard Grounders at a 34.2% rate, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.6% -0.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.1% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -1.6% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.2% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.5% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.5% -1.1% 1%

No Doubter 0.0% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.3% +1.7% 3%

Pop up +4.3% +0.4%

21.7% of Jonah Heim's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.6% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Yu Darvish are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.3% -1.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.9% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +2.7% +1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.5% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -2.6% -2.8%

12.0% of Jonah Heim's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 12.4% of batted balls allowed by Jonah Heim are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%