Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Jared Shuster

163rd out of 436 (Best 38%)

Jared Shuster

matchup for Jose Trevino

204th out of 568 (Best 37%)

Moderate advantage for Trevino

Jose Trevino has a 31.8% chance of reaching base vs Jared Shuster, which is 1.9% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Shuster.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.8%	24.2%	2.2%	5.1%	16.9%	7.7%	15.9%
Trevino	+1.9	+1.2	-0.4	-0.1	+1.7	+0.7	-3.7
Shuster	-1.7	+0.9	-0.4	-0.1	+1.4	-2.6	-4.0

Jose Trevino is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jared Shuster is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Trevino has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Shuster throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Jose Trevino has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

40%

Slider (L)

30%

Changeup (L)

27%

9% of Jared Shuster's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Edge Painter 15%

-2%

42% of Jared Shuster's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 42%

+19%

Slow Velo 32%

+18%

Offspeed (L) 27%

+14%

Large Break 35%

+14%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Jared Shuster strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% -5.8% 5%

Walk -1.1% +2.1% 36%

In Play +8.0% +3.7% 39%

On Base 0.0% +5.5% 31%

Hit +1.1% +3.4% 14%

Single +0.7% +1.5% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% +1.9% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Jared Shuster induces Standard Grounders at a 28.3% rate, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% -6.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% +0.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -0.8% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +3.9% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +3.2%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 21.2% of batted balls allowed by Jared Shuster are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% +5.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% -2.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% -3.1%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% -3.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% -1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -1.9% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% -1.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% +2.2% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% +1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% +1.6% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +3.5%

Jose Trevino has 1 plate appearance against Jared Shuster in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-19	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History