Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

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matchup for Cionel Perez

224th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Cionel Perez

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matchup for Jose Trevino

307th out of 568 (Worst 46%)

Leans in favor of Trevino
2

Model Prediction

Jose Trevino has a 31.3% chance of reaching base vs Cionel Perez, which is 1.3% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.3%22.6%2.0%3.9%16.6%8.7%17.3%
Trevino+1.3-0.4-0.6-1.2+1.4+1.8-2.3
Perez-1.8+1.3+0.1+0.0+1.1-3.1-3.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Trevino is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Cionel Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Trevino has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cionel Perez throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Jose Trevino has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
40%
   Slider (L)
35%
   Sinker (L)
22%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Cionel Perez strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% -0.9% 5%         Walk -1.1% +5.1% 36%         In Play +8.0% -4.1% 39%         On Base 0.0% +0.7% 31%         Hit +1.1% -4.3% 14%         Single +0.7% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% -0.9% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -2.5%

History

Jose Trevino has 2 plate appearances against Cionel Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-19Walk
2024-05-02Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.