Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

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matchup for Andrew Abbott

205th out of 436 (Best 48%)

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Andrew Abbott

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matchup for Jose Trevino

245th out of 568 (Best 44%)

Moderate advantage for Trevino
3

Model Prediction

Jose Trevino has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Andrew Abbott, which is 0.2% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Abbott.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%22.4%3.0%5.6%13.9%7.3%16.7%
Trevino-0.2-0.6+0.3+0.4-1.3+0.3-2.9
Abbott-2.4+0.8-0.3+0.2+0.9-3.1-5.3

Handedness and Release Point

Jose Trevino is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Andrew Abbott is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Trevino has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

Andrew Abbott throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Jose Trevino has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
52%
   Slider (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
16%
   Curve (L)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Andrew Abbott strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% -1.4% 5%         Walk -1.1% +0.8% 36%         In Play +8.0% +0.6% 39%         On Base 0.0% -1.6% 31%         Hit +1.1% -2.4% 14%         Single +0.7% -1.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.2%

History

Jose Trevino has 2 plate appearances against Andrew Abbott in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.020.000.000.020.020
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-03Flyout2%98%
2024-07-03Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.