Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

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matchup for Pete Fairbanks

228th out of 436 (Worst 48%)

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Pete Fairbanks

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matchup for Jose Trevino

458th out of 568 (Worst 20%)

Moderate advantage for Fairbanks
3

Model Prediction

Jose Trevino has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Pete Fairbanks, which is 1.1% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Fairbanks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.8%22.3%2.2%3.7%16.4%6.5%20.2%
Trevino-1.1-0.7-0.4-1.5+1.2-0.5+0.6
Fairbanks-1.3+0.4-0.3-0.5+1.2-1.8-6.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Jose Trevino is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Pete Fairbanks is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Trevino has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Pete Fairbanks throws a 4-seam fastball 54% of the time. Jose Trevino has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
54%
   Slider (R)
45%

Contact and Outcomes

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Pete Fairbanks strikes out 17.1% of the batters he faces, which is 4.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.9% +4.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.5% 36%         In Play +8.0% -3.6% 39%         On Base 0.0% +0.7% 31%         Hit +1.1% +1.2% 14%         Single +0.7% +0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.0% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.6% -0.8%

History

Jose Trevino has 1 plate appearance against Pete Fairbanks in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.070.000.000.070.067
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-11Groundout7%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.