Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Hogan Harris

172nd out of 436 (Best 40%)

Hogan Harris

matchup for Jose Trevino

84th out of 568 (Best 16%)

Strong advantage for Trevino

Jose Trevino has a 33.2% chance of reaching base vs Hogan Harris, which is 3.2% higher than Trevino's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Harris.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.2%	24.0%	2.5%	5.7%	15.8%	9.2%	16.0%
Trevino	+3.2	+1.0	-0.1	+0.5	+0.6	+2.2	-3.5
Harris	-2.3	-0.4	-0.3	-0.3	+0.2	-1.8	-5.8

Jose Trevino is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Hogan Harris is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Trevino has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Hogan Harris throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Jose Trevino has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

52%

Changeup (L)

18%

Curve (L)

15%

Cutter (L)

Slider (L)

15% of Hogan Harris's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Non-Competitive 12%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 16%

-3%

31% of Hogan Harris's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 31%

+16%

Large Break 37%

+15%

High Ride 20%

+10%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Hogan Harris strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% -2.1% 5%

Walk -1.1% +2.7% 36%

In Play +8.0% -0.7% 39%

On Base 0.0% +3.3% 31%

Hit +1.1% +0.5% 14%

Single +0.7% -0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% -0.2% 3%

Home Run -0.6% +1.3%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Hogan Harris induces Standard Grounders at a 33.0% rate, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +1.2% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% -1.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% -3.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% +1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% +2.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -1.5% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% +0.3% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +1.8%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 20.9% of batted balls allowed by Hogan Harris are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% +0.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% -1.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -2.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +6.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% -3.4%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 13.1% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +3.9% -0.7% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.4% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +0.2% -2.8% 18%

7 to 18° +2.1% +5.1% 15%

19 to 28° -1.7% -2.4% 11%

29 to 38° -3.1% +1.6% 7%

39 to 50° -2.0% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +1.9% +1.2%

Jose Trevino has 3 plate appearances against Hogan Harris in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.04	0.00	0.47	0.57			0.346

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-21	Single		47%	16%	38%
2023-06-29	Groundout			15%	85%
2023-06-29	Forceout			26%	73%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

On the Way to the Plate

Contact and Outcomes

History