Matchup Machine

Jose Trevino

matchup for Caleb Ferguson

201st out of 436 (Best 47%)

Caleb Ferguson

matchup for Jose Trevino

444th out of 568 (Worst 22%)

Leans in favor of Ferguson

Jose Trevino has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Ferguson, which is 1.3% lower than Trevino's typical expectations, and 2.8% lower than batters facing Ferguson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.7%	21.6%	2.3%	4.8%	14.5%	7.1%	22.5%
Trevino	-1.3	-1.4	-0.4	-0.3	-0.7	+0.1	+3.0
Ferguson	-2.8	-0.6	+0.0	+0.3	-0.9	-2.3	-5.9

Jose Trevino is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Ferguson is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Trevino has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Ferguson throws a 4-seam fastball 66% of the time. Jose Trevino has a B- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

66%

Curve (L)

17%

Cutter (L)

14%

15% of Caleb Ferguson's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-1%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

38% of Caleb Ferguson's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Jose Trevino has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 38%

+28%

Fastball (L) 82%

+27%

Medium Ride 34%

+20%

Medium Break 39%

+20%

10.5% of Jose Trevino's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.9% lower than the league average. Caleb Ferguson strikes out 20.9% of the batters he faces, which is 8.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.9% +8.3% 5%

Walk -1.1% +1.7% 36%

In Play +8.0% -10.0% 39%

On Base 0.0% +1.6% 31%

Hit +1.1% 0.0% 14%

Single +0.7% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B +1.0% +0.6% 3%

Home Run -0.6% -1.2%

34.4% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. Caleb Ferguson induces Standard Grounders at a 38.3% rate, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +0.0% +3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.0% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +0.7% 9%

Rising Liner -0.1% -2.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -2.5% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +1.5% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.1% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.4% -3.6% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +0.6%

24.7% of Jose Trevino's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.4% higher than the league average. 21.8% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Ferguson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.8% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.5% +3.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.9% -2.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.4% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.4% -2.4%

8.3% of Jose Trevino's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Jose Trevino are hit at this angle, which is 1.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%